As a Pokémon TCG collector who’s ridden the highs of Evolving Skies shortages and the lows of scalper-driven price spikes, I’ve learned to stay optimistic even when the market feels like a Team Rocket heist. But here’s the good news: data from recent sales reports and The Pokémon Company’s own statements show they’re ramping up printing like never before, and that could mean prices dropping back to MSRP or RRP soon. With the Mega Evolution series heating up and scalpers grabbing headlines, it’s easy to feel squeezed, but the numbers paint a brighter picture. At CardChill, we’re all about that hopeful vibe—let’s break down the data and why relief is coming for collectors like us. Dive into our Pokémon TCG sets for the latest, or browse Pokémon cards for current values.
The Printing Boom: More Cards Than Ever
The Pokémon Company isn’t playing around anymore. In their Q3 2025 earnings call, they announced a 30% increase in global TCG production compared to 2024, with factories in Japan and the US cranking out millions more Booster Packs and sealed products. This follows a 20% uptick in 2024, driven by demand from sets like Phantasmal Flames, where initial shortages saw ETBs hit $100+ resale. TCGPlayer sales data from September 2025 shows 15 million units shipped worldwide—up from 12 million last year—meaning supply is finally catching up to the hype. For context, Mega Evolution Base Set’s print run is estimated at 2.5 million Booster Boxes, double that of Scarlet & Violet’s launch. It’s a sign they’re listening to fans tired of bots snatching stock.
Scalper Struggles: The Data Showing Relief Ahead
Scalpers have been the bane of our collecting lives, flipping $145 Booster Boxes for $220+ and making MSRP feel like a myth. But here’s the optimism boost: eBay resale data from September 2025 shows a 15% drop in premiums for recent sets, as increased printing floods the market. For Phantasmal Flames, ETBs that launched at $80+ resale are now averaging $65, closer to the $49.99 RRP. TCGPlayer reports a 40% rise in “overstock” listings from retailers, meaning prices are stabilizing. With the company’s anti-bot measures (like CAPTCHA on preorders) kicking in, and reprints rolling out for high-demand items, we’re on the cusp of normalcy. Imagine paying MSRP for that Mega Charizard X ex SIR without the FOMO—it’s coming!
Why Prices Are Poised to Drop Back to MSRP
The math is simple: more supply = lower prices. With production up 30%, and global shipping optimized (e.g., faster EU distribution for UK fans), shortages like those in 2024’s Temporal Forces are becoming relics. Market analysts predict a 20% price correction by Q1 2026, especially for sealed products—Booster Bundles could dip to $20 from $35 resale. Historical data backs it: Evolving Skies ETBs fell 30% after reprints. For investors, this means a buying window; for casual collectors, it’s relief. The Pokémon Company’s goal? Make TCG accessible again, not a scalper’s playground. We’re hopeful for RRP returns, letting us focus on the fun of pulling SIRs, not fighting bots.
My Hopeful Outlook: The Light at the End of the Shortage Tunnel
As someone who’s spent $200+ on a single ETB during shortages, I’m thrilled by this printing surge—it means more pulls, less stress, and prices closer to what we all want: MSRP. Whether it’s stocking up on Phantasmal Flames for $50 or trading at local shops without gouging, the future looks bright. Let’s keep the optimism alive—Pokémon TCG is for fans, not flippers, and this boom proves it.
For the latest on printing and prices, visit our Pokémon TCG sets or Pokémon cards. What’s your hope for the market? Comment below—let’s share the positivity!