Pokémon TCG enthusiasts, with Ascended Heroes full release exploding tomorrow (January 30, 2026), prerelease events (January 17-25) have cracked open thousands of packs—revealing the latest English pull rates for this mega 295-card special set! Boasting 78 secrets like Mega Gengar ex SAR and Mega Dragonite ex, early data shows mid-tier dryness on top chases (SIRs 1/67-91 packs) but generous EX/IR hits, keeping the hunt electric. Dive deeper at CardChill—track on the Pokémon TCG sets page, chase top cards, browse the Pokémon hub, and explore articles for ongoing updates.
Aggregated from 2,000+ prerelease packs (YouTube streams, LGS reports, X trackers as of Jan 27), rates feel fair yet challenging—stronger mid-rarities fuel decks, while unicorns demand volume. X viral: Mystic7’s 100-pack dry streak (74K views). Positive spin: Dry tops boost singles value ($200-700 raw) and sealed ROI (40-80%)! Let’s review the freshest numbers.
Prerelease Pack Count: Robust Data from Streams & Events
Prereleases (6 packs/entry) generated ~2,500 packs sampled—reliable early benchmark before full print floods. Top sources (Jan 23-27):
- Gotta Mitch Em All (1,000 packs, Jan 26): Full stats video—”Solid EX, dry SIRs.”
- Mystic7 (100 packs, Jan 25): Viral dry rip—no SIRs till late.
- JuiceProphet (100+, Jan 24): 1 MAR, 0 SIRs.
- Reddit/X LGS (500+ packs): $400/20 packs = 3 IR/1 TFA trends.
Batching noted (dry/hot streaks), but averages stabilize: EX flood, SIR scarcity. Community: “Prerelease rates mid but playable” (r/PokemonTCG, 200+ upvotes).
Latest English Pull Rates: Per Pack Odds from 2,000+ Packs
Weighted prerelease averages (Jan 27 data)—EX heavy, tops tough:
- EX: 1/5 packs (20%)—185/1,000; deck staples galore.
- IR/AR (33 total): 1/8 packs (12.5%)—123/1,000; ~1/264 specific.
- FA: 1/17 packs (6%)—58/1,000.
- MAR (10): 1/33 packs (3%)—30/1,000; ~1/330 specific.
- SAR/SIR (22): 1/67-91 packs (1.5-2%)—15/1,000 (Gotta); 11/104 (shippers).
- UR/MUR/Golds: 0 pulled—est. 1/1,000+.
- God Packs: 0—est. <0.5%.
| Rarity | Packs per Hit | % of Packs | Sample (1,000 Packs) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EX | 1/5 | 20% | 185 | Strong openers |
| IR/AR | 1/8 | 12.5% | 123 | Art value surge |
| MAR | 1/33 | 3% | 30 | Mega attacks pop |
| SAR/SIR | 1/67-91 | 1.5-2% | 15 | Chase dryness |
| Golds/UR | 1/1,000+ | <0.1% | 0 | Unicorn waits |
EV/pack: ~$15-25 (mid-hits); box $130-180. Fair for special set!
Box/ETB Expectations: Guarantees from Patterns
ETBs (9 packs): Scale prerelease—~2-3 IR/AR, 0.8 MAR, 0.13-0.2 SAR/SIR. No full box data yet, but patterns mirror recent specials (3 AR/1 MAR avg/box equiv).
X: “ETB promo + 9 packs = solid EV” (@PokeDeals, 10K views). Prerelease 6-packs: 0.75 IR avg—ETBs shine!
Top Chases Pulled (or Not): Latest Hits & Misses
Prerelease standouts (Jan 27):
- Pulled: Entei SIR (multiple), Pikachu SIRs, Mega Pidgeot MAR, Mega Ho-Oh MAR, Grimmsnarl SIR (x2), Mega Scrafty MAR, Surfer Dude (dupes), Larry’s Staraptor IR.
- Dry Ghosts: Mega Dragonite ex SIR/MUR, Mewtwo SAR, Mega Gengar SAR—no golds/gods.
Raw ests (TCGPlayer Jan 27): Gengar SAR $400+, Dragonite $300+, Pikachu $200+.
| Chase Pulled | Rarity | Packs Seen | Est. Specific Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Entei SIR | SIR | Frequent | 1/500-1,000 |
| Pikachu SIR | SIR | Multiple | 1/1,474 |
| Mega Pidgeot MAR | MAR | Hits | 1/330 |
| Mega Dragonite SIR | SIR | 0 | 1/2,000+ |
Review Verdict: Dry Tops, Juicy Mids – 7/10 for Rippers!
Latest prerelease rates: 7/10—EX/IR flood decks (positive for play), SIR dryness amps chases ($29K+ EV for specifics). Drier than Crown Zenith, fairer than Prismatic—sealed ROI gold (40-80%). Strategy: ETBs for value, prereleases for fun/promos, singles post-launch.
